UPDATED: 09-09-26 18:49 PDT

stick UAB
  
UAB                   
W-L: (21-32) PR = 91.4694

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 2- 5 206 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 10- 2 207 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 4- 7 207 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 7-14 208 A Lipscomb ASUN ( 1-10, 88.6) 9- 3 213 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 6- 4 213 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 3- 2 214 H Western Michigan MA ( 2- 8, 90.8) 4- 3 214 A Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 1- 9 215 H Texas A&M SEC (38-19, 96.8) 1- 6 218 H West Georgia ASUN ( 1- 7, 89.4) 4- 6 220 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 6 221 H Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 7- 3 222 H Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 9- 5 224 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 8 227 H Queens University ASUN ( 0-11, 85.7) 3- 2 227 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 12- 3 228 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 2- 3 228 A Queens University ASUN ( 0-11, 85.7) 11- 2 301 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 9- 0 301 H Marist MAAC ( 3-10, 89.3) 9- 0 304 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 1- 6 306 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 2- 5 307 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 5- 6 307 H North Texas AC (31-24, 92.5) 1- 3 310 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 9- 8 313 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 5- 6 314 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 9 314 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 1- 2 318 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 4 320 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 1- 3 321 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 3- 5 322 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 0- 9 325 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0-11 327 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 3- 4 328 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 3- 3 329 A East Carolina AC (31-27, 91.3) 4- 2 331 H Samford SO ( 3-18, 90.4) 7- 3 402 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 3- 5 403 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 2- 1 404 H Memphis AC (17-38, 89.5) 5- 1 411 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 9 411 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 13- 1 412 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 1- 5 417 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 5- 8 418 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 0- 3 419 H UTSA AC (24-33, 90.4) 14- 6 421 H Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 0- 6 424 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 0- 5 425 A Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 1-11 426 A Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 9- 2 430 H Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 4- 6 501 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 2- 3 502 A Florida Atlantic AC (33-21, 94.7) 5- 3

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Lipscomb                2- 5      -3     2    --    -5.12
   206 H Southeast Missouri Sta 10- 2       8     3    ++     4.52
   207 A Louisiana Tech          4- 7      -3    -2          -0.94
   207 A Southern Miss           7-14      -7    -1    ---   -6.06
   208 A Lipscomb                9- 3       6     2    +      3.88
   213 H Jacksonville State      6- 4       2    -3    ++     4.56
   213 A South Alabama           3- 2       1    -2    +      2.65
   214 H Western Michigan        4- 3       1     1          -0.38
   214 A Jacksonville State      1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.96
   215 H Texas A&M               1- 6      -5    -5          -0.43
   218 H West Georgia            4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.83
   220 H Tennessee               1- 6      -5    -5          -0.30
   221 H Southern Illinois       7- 3       4     3           0.86
   222 H Missouri State          9- 5       4     1    +      2.59
   224 A Alabama                 0- 8      -8    -8           0.41
   227 H Queens University       3- 2       1     6    --    -5.47
   227 H Marist                 12- 3       9     3    +++    6.09
   228 A South Carolina          2- 3      -1    -4    +      3.24
   228 A Queens University      11- 2       9     5    ++     4.01
   301 H Marist                  9- 0       9     3    +++    6.09
   301 H Marist                  9- 0       9     3    +++    6.09
   304 H Mississippi State       1- 6      -5    -4          -0.68
   306 H North Texas             2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.75
   307 H North Texas             5- 6      -1     0          -0.75
   307 H North Texas             1- 3      -2     0          -1.75
   310 A Georgia Tech            9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.11
   313 A Wichita State           5- 6      -1    -4    +      2.93
   314 A Wichita State           1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.07
   314 A Wichita State           1- 2      -1    -4    +      2.93
   318 A Mississippi State       0- 4      -4    -6           1.80
   320 H Charlotte               1- 3      -2     0          -1.91
   321 H Charlotte               3- 5      -2     0          -1.91
   322 H Charlotte               0- 9      -9     0    ---   -8.91
   325 A Ole Miss                0-11     -11    -5    ---   -6.43
   327 H Coastal Carolina        3- 4      -1     1          -1.73
   328 H BYU                     3- 3       0     1          -0.79
   329 A East Carolina           4- 2       2    -1    +      2.55
   331 H Samford                 7- 3       4     2    +      2.17
   402 H Memphis                 3- 5      -2     3    --    -4.75
   403 H Memphis                 2- 1       1     3          -1.75
   404 H Memphis                 5- 1       4     3           1.25
   411 A Tulsa                   1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.89
   411 A Tulsa                  13- 1      12    -1    +++   13.11
   412 A Tulsa                   1- 5      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   417 H UTSA                    5- 8      -3     2    --    -4.86
   418 H UTSA                    0- 3      -3     2    --    -4.86
   419 H UTSA                   14- 6       8     2    +++    6.14
   421 H Alabama                 0- 6      -6    -7           0.92
   424 H South Florida           0- 5      -5    -1    -     -3.77
   425 A Northwestern            1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.30
   426 A Kennesaw State          9- 2       7     3    ++     4.26
   430 H Delaware                4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.76
   501 A Florida Atlantic        2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.93
   502 A Florida Atlantic        5- 3       2    -4    ++     5.93

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Southern Miss           7-14      -7    -1    ---   -6.06
   322 H Charlotte               0- 9      -9     0    ---   -8.91
   325 A Ole Miss                0-11     -11    -5    ---   -6.43
   411 A Tulsa                   1- 9      -8    -1    ---   -6.89
   206 A Lipscomb                2- 5      -3     2    --    -5.12
   218 H West Georgia            4- 6      -2     3    --    -4.83
   227 H Queens University       3- 2       1     6    --    -5.47
   314 A Wichita State           1- 9      -8    -4    --    -4.07
   402 H Memphis                 3- 5      -2     3    --    -4.75
   417 H UTSA                    5- 8      -3     2    --    -4.86
   418 H UTSA                    0- 3      -3     2    --    -4.86
   425 A Northwestern            1-11     -10    -5    --    -5.30
   214 A Jacksonville State      1- 9      -8    -4    -     -3.96
   306 H North Texas             2- 5      -3     0    -     -2.75
   412 A Tulsa                   1- 5      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   424 H South Florida           0- 5      -5    -1    -     -3.77
   430 H Delaware                4- 6      -2     1    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Marist                 12- 3       9     3    +++    6.09
   301 H Marist                  9- 0       9     3    +++    6.09
   301 H Marist                  9- 0       9     3    +++    6.09
   411 A Tulsa                  13- 1      12    -1    +++   13.11
   419 H UTSA                   14- 6       8     2    +++    6.14
   206 H Southeast Missouri Sta 10- 2       8     3    ++     4.52
   213 H Jacksonville State      6- 4       2    -3    ++     4.56
   228 A Queens University      11- 2       9     5    ++     4.01
   310 A Georgia Tech            9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.11
   426 A Kennesaw State          9- 2       7     3    ++     4.26
   502 A Florida Atlantic        5- 3       2    -4    ++     5.93
   208 A Lipscomb                9- 3       6     2    +      3.88
   213 A South Alabama           3- 2       1    -2    +      2.65
   222 H Missouri State          9- 5       4     1    +      2.59
   228 A South Carolina          2- 3      -1    -4    +      3.24
   313 A Wichita State           5- 6      -1    -4    +      2.93
   314 A Wichita State           1- 2      -1    -4    +      2.93
   329 A East Carolina           4- 2       2    -1    +      2.55
   331 H Samford                 7- 3       4     2    +      2.17
   501 A Florida Atlantic        2- 3      -1    -4    +      2.93

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A Lipscomb        ( 1-10, 88.6)     2- 5      -11.29       8.08       0.74         0.47            -2.46
   3 H Southeast Miss  ( 0-14, 88.7)    10- 2      -11.16       8.21      -0.74         0.47             6.97
   3 A Louisiana Tech  (28-24, 92.8)     4- 7       -7.11      12.26       0.74         0.47            -1.49
   3 A Southern Miss   (35-23, 91.7)     7-14       -8.24      11.13       0.74         0.47            -1.75
   3 A Lipscomb        ( 1-10, 88.6)     9- 3      -11.29       8.08       0.74         0.47             8.24
   3 H Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     6- 4       -5.13      14.24      -0.74         0.47            12.60
   3 A South Alabama   (29-27, 92.4)     3- 2       -7.52      11.85       0.74         0.47            11.76
   3 H Western Michig  ( 2- 8, 90.8)     4- 3       -9.07      10.30      -0.74         0.47             8.92
   3 A Jacksonville S  (42-14, 94.8)     1- 9       -5.13      14.24       0.74         0.47            -1.02
   3 H Texas A&M       (38-19, 96.8)     1- 6       -3.12      16.25      -0.74         0.47            -0.90
   3 H West Georgia    ( 1- 7, 89.4)     4- 6      -10.52       8.85      -0.74         0.47            -2.63
   3 H Tennessee       (45-15, 96.9)     1- 6       -2.99      16.38      -0.74         0.47            -0.87
   3 H Southern Illin  ( 3- 7, 89.1)     7- 3      -10.83       8.54      -0.74         0.47             7.28
   3 H Missouri State  (20-30, 90.8)     9- 5       -9.10      10.27      -0.74         0.47             8.89
   3 A Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     0- 8       -0.76      18.61       0.74         0.47            -0.01
   3 H Queens Univers  ( 0-11, 85.7)     3- 2      -14.16       5.21      -0.74         0.47             4.17
   3 H Marist          ( 3-10, 89.3)    12- 3      -10.60       8.77      -0.74         0.47             7.49
   3 A South Carolina  (32-30, 95.0)     2- 3       -4.93      14.44       0.74         0.47            -0.98
   3 A Queens Univers  ( 0-11, 85.7)    11- 2      -14.16       5.21       0.74         0.47             5.56
   3 H Marist          ( 3-10, 89.3)     9- 0      -10.60       8.77      -0.74         0.47             7.49
   3 H Marist          ( 3-10, 89.3)     9- 0      -10.60       8.77      -0.74         0.47             7.49
   3 H Mississippi St  (43-20, 96.5)     1- 6       -3.37      16.00      -0.74         0.47            -0.96
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     2- 5       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.47            -1.91
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     5- 6       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.47            -1.91
   3 H North Texas     (31-24, 92.5)     1- 3       -7.44      11.93      -0.74         0.47            -1.91
   3 A Georgia Tech    (35-26, 94.8)     9- 8       -5.06      14.31       0.74         0.47            14.05
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     5- 6       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.47            -1.05
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     1- 9       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.47            -1.05
   3 A Wichita State   (36-16, 94.7)     1- 2       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.47            -1.05
   3 A Mississippi St  (43-20, 96.5)     0- 4       -3.37      16.00       0.74         0.47            -0.61
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     1- 3       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         0.47            -1.95
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     3- 5       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         0.47            -1.95
   3 H Charlotte       (29-27, 92.3)     0- 9       -7.60      11.77      -0.74         0.47            -1.95
   3 A Ole Miss        (35-26, 95.3)     0-11       -4.60      14.77       0.74         0.47            -0.90
   3 H Coastal Caroli  (27-28, 91.5)     3- 4       -8.42      10.95      -0.74         0.47            -2.14
   3 H BYU             (19-29, 91.4)     3- 3       -8.48      10.89      -0.74         0.47             0.00
   3 A East Carolina   (31-27, 91.3)     4- 2       -8.62      10.75       0.74         0.47            10.73
   3 H Samford         ( 3-18, 90.4)     7- 3       -9.52       9.85      -0.74         0.47             8.50
   3 H Memphis         (17-38, 89.5)     3- 5      -10.44       8.93      -0.74         0.47            -2.61
   3 H Memphis         (17-38, 89.5)     2- 1      -10.44       8.93      -0.74         0.47             7.64
   3 H Memphis         (17-38, 89.5)     5- 1      -10.44       8.93      -0.74         0.47             7.64
   3 A Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)     1- 9       -8.06      11.31       0.74         0.47            -1.71
   3 A Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)    13- 1       -8.06      11.31       0.74         0.47            11.25
   3 A Tulsa           (20-31, 91.8)     1- 5       -8.06      11.31       0.74         0.47            -1.71
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     5- 8       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.47            -2.40
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)     0- 3       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.47            -2.40
   3 H UTSA            (24-33, 90.4)    14- 6       -9.55       9.82      -0.74         0.47             8.48
   3 H Alabama         (58- 8, 99.1)     0- 6       -0.76      18.61      -0.74         0.47            -0.35
   3 H South Florida   (42-18, 93.4)     0- 5       -6.46      12.91      -0.74         0.47            -1.68
   3 A Northwestern    (29-20, 95.4)     1-11       -4.47      14.90       0.74         0.47            -0.87
   3 A Kennesaw State  ( 9-43, 88.0)     9- 2      -11.91       7.46       0.74         0.47             7.66
   3 H Delaware        (33-20, 91.4)     4- 6       -8.45      10.92      -0.74         0.47            -2.15
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     2- 3       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.47            -1.05
   3 A Florida Atlant  (33-21, 94.7)     5- 3       -5.24      14.13       0.74         0.47            13.88
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       138.31

winning pts = 186.6799 losing points = -48.3663

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------